Vilnius, Lithuania – Defence experts are noting a significant increase in the effectiveness of Moscow’s intelligence operations following the brutal attack on Leonid Volkov, a key aide to the late Russian opposition leader, Alexei Nalvany. The assault, characterized by tear gas and a hammer attack, is seen as a clear message from the Kremlin. This incident highlights a resurgence of Russian intelligence activities in Europe, raising concerns among security officials.
According to Lithuanian intelligence, the attack on Volkov is believed to be orchestrated by Russian special services, although it appears that Moscow may have employed a third party to carry out the assault. Since the conflict in Ukraine, hundreds of Russian intelligence officers have been expelled from European embassies, prompting Moscow to expedite the rebuilding of its network, potentially resorting to collaboration with organized crime to achieve its objectives.
The recent series of events, including the attack on Volkov and the death of Russian helicopter pilot Maksim Kuzminov in Spain, are indicative of Russia’s renewed focus on espionage and covert operations across borders. The arrest of a Bulgarian national in the UK on espionage charges further underscores Moscow’s commitment to expanding its intelligence activities beyond its borders.
In response to past failures, Russia now appears more willing to take responsibility for its covert actions, a departure from previous denial tactics. The current shift in intelligence strategy reflects Moscow’s escalated confrontation with the West, particularly in the aftermath of the conflict in Ukraine. Analysts suggest that Moscow’s efforts to revamp its intelligence operations are aimed at adapting to a new era of geopolitical conflict.
The restructuring of Russian intelligence agencies, particularly the GRU, to enhance espionage capabilities abroad signifies a return to Cold War-era tactics. Specialists point to the creation of a new unit focusing on recruiting individuals with no prior security ties for long-term spy missions as a key component of Moscow’s revamped strategy. The evolving approach to intelligence operations mirrors historical patterns of Russian military and intelligence agencies adapting and improving over time in response to conflicts and challenges.
In light of recent geopolitical developments, Russia’s intelligence resurgence is viewed as a strategic response to perceived threats from the West. The Kremlin’s intensified focus on covert operations and espionage reflects a broader shift towards a more assertive and aggressive approach to foreign intelligence gathering. As tensions between East and West continue to escalate, Moscow’s intelligence apparatus plays an increasingly pivotal role in shaping Russia’s strategic interests on the global stage.